Cover 4: Fight On The Road

Cover 4: Fight On The Road

Hope you like road trips—who doesn’t?—because we’re picking the visitors across the board this week.

Sep 28, 2018 by Kolby Paxton
Cover 4: Fight On The Road

Hope you like road trips—who doesn’t?—because we’re picking the visitors across the board this week.

The Cover 4 is part of Confidence Picks presented by Rocket Mortgage by Quicken Loans

We’re riding with our Very Good Dogs—one of which is no longer a dog at all—and a pair of road favorites. Sounds kind of crazy, right?

Embrace it.

South Carolina (-1) at Kentucky

Saturday, 6:30 PM CT | Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

Look, if Kentucky is able to run the ball against South Carolina the way it did against Mississippi State, then this one gets dicey.

But the Gamecocks are the more talented team, top to bottom, and seem to have responded quite favorably to getting drilled by Georgia three weeks ago—assuming their performance against Vanderbilt was a reliable indication.

At some point, Kentucky runs out of gas and the breaks go a different way. This is that point.

Army (+7.5) at Buffalo

Saturday, 11 AM CT | UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY

Think about it this way, if this had been the spread a week ago at Oklahoma, Army still covers.

As I mentioned on Bootleg (mine, not Mina Kimes’ rip-off), Army is a live dog in this one who may have the juice to win this baby outright. 

Buffalo has played next to no one, while Army is 3-1 against the spread, with outright victories over Hawaii and Liberty, an overtime loss to Oklahoma and a 34-14 loss to Duke in a game it trailed by 10 point into the fourth quarter.

Take the points. Win the dollars.

Purdue (-3) at Nebraska

Saturday, 2:30 PM CT | Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE

Purdue’s not Michigan, but the Boilermakers are about to go out and score 40 again. Is Nebraska scoring 37? Highly unlikely.

That being said, here’s a bonus tip: Lay the points and parlay the over.

Southern Cal (-4) at Arizona

Saturday, 9:30 PM CT | Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ

Tucson isn’t exactly hostile territory—particularly when the team sucks—and any and all optimism as it relates to Wildcats football has essentially been extinguished by a coaching staff who refuses to use Khalil Tate the way Rich Rodriguez used Khalil Tate.

USC is much better up front on both sides of the ball and JT Daniels gets better every week.

Congrats on back-to-back wins against Oregon State and Southern Utah, but, unless Tate is unleashed—and, considering the fact that he’s tallied a grand total of nine yards on eight carries the past two weeks, here’s guessing he still will not be—Arizona Stadium will be empty by the end of the third quarter.